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Archive for March, 2009

Trading Indicators: Too Much is Not a Good Thing

Tuesday, March 10th, 2009

There are literally hundreds of technical indicators out there and thousands of technical indicators combinations that can be used. But the problem lies on the premise. Since there are lots of technical indicators available at your disposal, you risk yourself of having too much of everything which can lead you with mastering nothing. This begs the question: “can you use too many technical indicators?”

Probably, you have asked the same question too and are trying to find the Holy Grail of combinations that will catapult you to immortality, at least in the trading world. You may test several technical indicators or technical indicators combinations that are suggested by some writings on the internet. But the thing is, there is no single technical indicator combination that is 100% successful. Because if there is, everyone will be using it and everyone will be rich right now. Right?

I am not saying, however, that the internet cannot give you something you can use or the internet is just a virtual world full of crap in terms of information about trading indicators. We cannot deny that the internet has given us the ease of access on several technical indicators and charts, which have made some investors knowledgeable in the field and have actually make others real fortune. What I am saying is that investors should not rely on suggested technical indicator combinations and expect to become successful. What you should do is to learn as much as you can and identify which indicators are suited to your trading style, which in turn, can yield to higher profit or positive curve in the long run.

With that said, you don’t have to use several indicators at once. Experts agree on this. Using several indicators at a time will only create confusion. It will only create conflicting information, which is not good if you want to have certainty in your decision.

A good example is using 7 indicators when deciding on your entry and exit positions. Four of them are telling you to enter a long position but 3 are indicating a future downward movement. While majority of your indicators are giving a green light, the other 3 can become a factor. Statistics may be on your side to pursue the trade but you are more likely to abandon it because you still see the risks.

It does not end there. Using multiple time frames can give you different conflicting information which can become a major factor in your decision. More likely, you end up not trading at all because you are afraid to take a position.

To become successful, you really do not have to have several indicators. This is quite ironic but the most effective indicators are those that have been around the longest. Experts suggest that you stay away from complex set-ups and stick on the basic like MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence), Rate of Change (ROC), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Price and Volume Oscillator, and stochastics.

Even with these examples, you have to identify which indicators are suited to your trading style. Do not overcomplicate things. To become successful, you don’t have to constantly tryout new indicators in order to find the best combination. All you need to do is to use and master few and simple ones.

Technical Analysis—A Guide to Successful Trading

Friday, March 6th, 2009

Fear not as you work on yet another endeavor of yours. Participating in the trading market can both be complex and simple. The pros and beginners alike need to continuously learn about the relevant steps to maneuver things in a very unpredictable market. Yes, the trading world is a very volatile one. You better expect the most unexpected things to happen. Without your knowing, the assumption that you have made hours ago already turns obsolete at this very minute. Hence, a keen observation and watchful eyes are what you truly need to possess. Meanwhile, your sensitivity to the changes in the trend and other factors governing the market itself must likewise be put to use.

A Good Look at the Technical Indicators and their Use

The very name emphasizes that technical indicators are the mathematical formulas that signal the existing and possible trends which affect the turn of events especially those that have something to do with the stock prices. Technical analysts preferably utilize these indicators to foresee and conclude cycles which signal the time period as to when it is best to either buy or sell an option, a stock, a security, or a commodity.

The indicators are furthermore gauged depending on the price pattern of a derivative or stock. The collected data include the volume, highs, lows, closing price, and opening price. The price data is frequently derived from the recent last periods of the stock’s prices.

Two Main Types of Technical Indicators

The two main types are the lagging indicators and the leading indicators. Read on to get to know their individual nature.

The lagging indicators are those that go after the price pattern of the stock, security, or commodity. The data is then generated from a past collection of data and are therefore effective in denoting if a new trend is currently developing or whether the goods are within the best trading ranges. Moreover, the lagging indicators fall short in envisaging pullbacks or rallies in the future.

Meanwhile, the leading indicators are able to predict what may happen in the future. Crashes, pullbacks, or price rallies are easily determined since they calculate the movement of the price’s momentum. These tools are also able to define prices that have gone too high or too low thereby paving way to the terms overbought and oversold.

Anyhow, both of these types are equally significant. As a trader, it is a must that you get to know the trends that develop as well as the price rallies, pullbacks, or slowdowns. Similarly, it is strongly advised that as an investor, you must consult several technical indicators prior to making do with your conclusion or decision.

Other Tips for You

Here are a few other reminders that can lead you towards success in trading. Keep them in mind and integrate them in your course of action.

Choose the technical indicators with which you are most comfortable with. There are thousands of indicators out there. What you must do is not only to trust one but make use of a number of them to be able to arrive at a much solid decision. Just be sure to utilize those that will make you comfortable and confident.

Back test your preferred indicators by means of historical data. Come up with a trading system that can help you out in deriving better results for your chosen indicators.

Keep a close watch. Never idle. Always observe the performance of your stocks, securities, or commodities.

Determine a certain stop loss. You must earn instead of lose money. Go for the winning trading styles and techniques and never entertain false hopes.

Last Words

Be smart. Be in harmony with the technical indicators and the patterns that they show you. These are the simple tips that will put you on the right track.